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Saturday, September 22, 2012

NFL PICKS, WEEK THREE, 2012

Well I was a lousy 4-10-2 last week bring me to 12-18-2 for the season. John was 5-9-2 and is now 13-17-2 for the season.

Here are this weeks picks:

1.) Carolina Panthers (1-1) at home (-3) vs. New York Giants (1-1)

   This is all about the honor's system. Via text message I had the Giants and John had the Panthers. Whenever the Giants have their backs to the wall, they step up and the Panthers couldn't stop them.

2.) Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at home (-8) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)

     All this controversy over Greg Schiano and rushing Eli Manning at the end of the game. I seem to recall a last second fumble that cost the Giants a game 34 years ago that resulted in a loss. Schiano's attitude is just right for a franchise that can't sell out a home game. The Cowboys always seem to have trouble with the Seahawks and it showed up last week. They are a different team at home and the Bucs defense still lacks enough to compete.

Prediction: Cowboys

3.) San Francisco 49ers (2-0) (-7) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)

    The Vikings gave up the lead last week against the Andrew Luck led Colts. Home or not, they are no where near the league of the 49ers.

 Prediction: 49ers

4.) Detroit Lions (1-1) (-4) at Tennessee Titans (0-2)

     The Lions found out last week, like the Packers in Week One that the 49ers are not to be trifled with. The Titans are not the Niners. Jake Locker may have the goods but the Titans look disoriented.

Prediction: Lions

5.) Washington Redskins (1-1) at home (-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (1-1)

     This will be the highest scoring game of the week, if not the season. The Redskins were giving up over thirty points on average and that was before Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker were both lost for the season. All the more pressure on RG III. He's can't defense and sooner or later league defenses will get a book on how to stop the newly minted franchise QB. Not the same old Redskins, but the same outcome at the end of the season.
     The Bengals defense gave up 24 points to a Brandon Wheedon led Browns team, a rookie QB that was picked four times the week before against the Eagles. Not much "D" in Cincy either. BUT, the have more weapons.

Prediction: Bengals

6.) New York Jets (1-1) (-2.5) at Miami Dolphins (1-1)

    The Dolphins laid the law down on the perennially overrated Raiders and Ryan Tannehill looked like an All Pro and Reggie Bush dominated. The Jets are without Dustin Keller and likely Darrelle Revis. This is always an intense rivalry and you can throw out the records. This game just had its blackout lifted too. The Jets defense ought to be too much and it's much better than the Raiders.

Prediction: JETS

7.) New Orleans Saints (0-2) at home (-8.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)

     The Saints can still score points but they are having trouble figuring out the zone blitz scheme of new defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. They will, but right now they can't stop anyone. The Chiefs on the others hand are just embarrassing. They couldn't stop Ryan Fitzpatrick in Buffalo and they're not going to stop Drew Brees in New Orleans either. There is a temptation to take the Chiefs with the points on the premise they will abuse Jamal Charles and Peyton Hillis to keep Brees off the field. The Saints need this too much.

Prediction: Saints

8.) Buffalo Bills (1-1) (-3) at Cleveland Browns (0-1)

    The Browns looked like pros in their loss to the Bengals and the Bills are the Bills.

Prediction: Browns to cover

9.) Indianapolis Colts (1-1) at home (-3) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2)

     The Colts made the right pick with Andrew Luck. Even in his open week loss to Chicago was pretty good with Chicago's Soldier Field and the defense being a degree of difficulty. The Jags used to give the Colts a migraine even with Peyton Manning and the Colts at the peak of their success. But, those were Jags teams too.

     Prediction: Colts

10.) Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) (-3) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0)

       The Eagles are 2-0 by a total of two points having turned the ball over nine times. How is that possible? Well, for starters how about we give often abused Eagles Defensive Coordinator Juan Castillo some credit. Last week the shut down a Raven team that only needed a field to win. Defense is why they are 2-0. Last year they would've lost both games. The Cardinals are winning on defense and special teams. Forget Kolb revenge fantasies. Going west and the turnovers lead me to believe that three points are too many.

     Prediction: Cardinals to cover

11.) San Diego Chargers (2-0) at home (-3) vs. Atlanta Falcons (2-0)

       The Falcons are coming off a big Monday Night home win against the Broncos and now travel to the West Coast to play a strangely 2-0 Charger team. Of course were it not for the Raiders lack of a backup long snapper they'd be 1-1.

      Prediction: Chargers

12.) Houston Texans (2-0) (-1.5) vs. Denver Broncos (1-1)

      The Broncos will always be in their games, but their defense is under performing. The Broncos don't have enough weapons to run with the Texans.

     Prediction: Texans

13.) Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) (-4) at Oakland Raiders (0-2)

       Is there life in Oakland for the NFL?

    Prediction: Steelers

14.) Chicago Bears (1-1) at home (-7) vs. St Louis Rams (1-1)

       Will Jay Cutler ever get his act together? Just as the pieces seem to come together for the Bears and Cutler cops an attitude. The Rams are playing better than expected.

      Prediction: Rams to cover

15.) Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at home (-2) vs. New England Patriots (1-1)

     The Ravens let one slip away last week and the Pats didn't score a TD.

     Prediction: Ravens

16.) Green Bay Packers (1-1) (-3) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

     This is an intriguing matchup, but rookie QB Russell Wilson is no match for the Packers.

      Prediction: Packers          


John's Picks:

Cowboys
49ers
Lions
Redskins
JETS
Saints
Bills
Colts
Eagles
Chargers
Broncos
Steelers
Bears
Ravens
Packers 
    

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